Changing enrollment trends over the past five years suggest that institutions that fail to adapt will be stuck fighting over a dwindling population of traditionally aged students, according to data compiled by Education Dynamics, a marketing and enrollment service.
“Forward-looking institutions are already building for the future; actively cultivating dual enrollment pipelines, strengthening adult learner pathways and investing in applied programs that align with labor market demand.”
Adult learners changing the game
Enrollment among adult learners aged 25 and older grew by 10% from 2023 to 2024. These gains are partially due to the number of re-enrolled students with some-college but no-credentials surpassing one million.
Meanwhile, the traditional college-age population appeared to flatten.
This shift toward adult learners and lifelong education correlated with a 3% enrollment increase in the number of students who earned non-degree certificates and other short-term credentials from 2023 to 2024.
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Short-term credentials provide students with flexible learning opportunities that can quickly lead to employment. These credentials will also be instrumental in upskilling mid-career professionals as AI reshapes labor market needs, the report predicts.
“The future labor market will reward continuous skill development, not static credentials. The opportunity is not only to create entry points for displaced workers but also to design stackable credential pathways that bridge short-term training with long-term degree attainment.”
Durable academic programs for tomorrow
The economy is expected to add 5.2 million jobs over the next decade, concentrated in health care, technology and business. Program enrollment in those fields grew the most from 2023 to 2024, reflecting student demand for durable career outcomes.
At the same time, enrollment in the social sciences and humanities dropped by 3% and 8%, respectively.
Persistence through semesters played a key role in determining year-over-year program enrollment. Engineering, mathematics, and biomedical sciences scored persistence rates of 90% or above in 2023. On the other hand, programs in philosophy, cultural and gender studies, history and foreign languages saw rates drop from 2018 to 2023.
| Occupation requiring a bachelor’s degree | Expected job growth by 2034 (by the thousands) |
| Software developers | 267.7 |
| Registered nurses | 166.1 |
| Medical and health services managers | 142.9 |
| Financial managers | 128.8 |
| Computer and information systems managers | 101.6 |
| Management analysts | 94.5 |
| Data scientists | 82.5 |
| Information security analysts | 52.1 |
| Logisticians | 40.3 |
| Operations research analysts | 24.1 |
Education Dynamics compiled data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of Education, the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center and other sources for this report.
